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Caroline Kirrane

Caroline Kirrane

6th Nov 2019

Caroline Kirrane is an IMI associate on the IMI Diploma in Management.

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Einstein’s Eighth Wonder of the World

The easiest way to understand the power of compounding is to look at a simple example. Let’s say you invest €100 at 10% per annum compounded annually. At the end of the first year, your principal of €100 has earned €10 of interest. The new principal is €110. In Year 2, you earn €11 of interest, €10 of interest on your original principal plus an extra €1 of interest on the interest. The fact that you are earning interest on your interest might seem like a small win, but it ends up being substantial over a long period of time, even in low-interest rate environments.

In 10 years with your original €100 and 10% annually compounded interest rate, your principal will have grown to €259.37. If your original €100 was invested on the basis of simple interest – where you just get interest on the original €100 each year – then your €100 would only have grown to €200 over the same time period. So after ten years, we can clearly see that we’re winning to compounding. If we look to even longer periods of time, the value of compounding “compounds”. Over 30 years, your €100 has grown to €1,745! Simple interest would only have grown your €100 to €400 in the same time period. So your patience is paying off. After 50 years, your original €100 has grown to €11,739, a staggering 117X return on your original investment. Even in low-interest rate environments like we’re in currently, compounding produces impressive results over time. With a paltry 2% interest rate your €100 still grows to €181 over 30 years and €269 over 50 years.

Companies and their financial managers would do well to regularly remind themselves of the power of compounding. If you’re borrowing money for a project or acquisition, it should be productive enough to cover your cost of capital, because if not, you’re destroying value. Compounding gives us a crucial law of investment – the longer the time horizon, the better the outcome. Compounding shows that you can build wealth if you invest in projects that have the potential to be continuously productive over the long-term.

What about individuals? If you are a net saver, then compound interest is working for you. If you are a net borrower, it’s working against you. Compound interest explains why you will pay roughly €100,000 of interest alone on a 20-year mortgage of €270,000 in Ireland (i.e. your total repayments will be about €370,000). This is not to say that borrowing money is always a bad thing. In the past, mortgages have been seen as sensible because of the underlying asset – your home – was almost sure to increase in value year-on-year, offsetting the interest rate you have to pay on the mortgage. House price performance in Ireland over the last decade has forced a revision of these assumptions. Another area of personal finance where compounding should be considered carefully is with regard to your pension. “Save early, save often” is a mantra in the pensions industry and compounding shows us the particular power of saving early.

This week saw the announcement that Bulmers is to retire its familiar marketing slogan “Nothing Added But Time”. It’s a great slogan and as compounding shows us, can be the key to financial success. At the very least, we should be mindful of Einstein’s cautionary note regarding compounding – “Those who understand it, earn it. Those who don’t, pay it.”

Caroline Kirrane is an IMI associate on the Finance for the Non-Financial Manager Programme. Caroline has a decade of experience working in financial markets. She has an undergraduate degree in Business from Dublin City University and holds a Master of Business Administration (MBA) from Trinity College Dublin and is a CFA Charterholder. She is an adjunct lecturer in Finance at the Trinity Business School and also advises start-ups on finance and strategy.

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